REPORT OF A BIO-ECONOMIC MODELLING WORKSHOP AND A POLICY
DIALOGUE MEETING ON THE THAI DEMERSAL FISHERIES IN THE GULF OF
THAILAND

HUA HIN, THAILAND
31 May - 9 June 2000


REPORT OF A BIO-ECONOMIC MODELLING WORKSHOP AND A POLICY DIALOGUE MEETING ON THE THAI DEMERSAL FISHERIES IN THE GULF OF THAILAND
HUA HIN, THAILAND
31 MAY - 9 JUNE 2000

Field Report F–16

FISHCODE/MANAGEMENT - GCP/INT/648/NOR

FAO/NORWAY GOVERNMENT
COOPERATIVE PROGRAMME

FOOD AND AGRICULTURE ORGANIZATION OF THE UNITED NATIONS
Rome, June 2001

Table of Contents


The designations employed and the presentation of material in this information product do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations concerning the legal or development status of any country, territory, city or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.

All rights reserved. Reproduction and dissemination of material in this information product for educational or other non-commercial purposes are authorized without any prior written permission from the copyright holders provided the source is fully acknowledged. Reproduction of material in this information product for resale or other commercial purposes is prohibited without written permission of the copyright holders. Applications for such permission should be addressed to the Chief, Publishing Management Service, Information Division, FAO, Viale delle Terme di Caracalla, 00100 Rome, Italy or by e-mail to copyright@fao.org

© FAO 2001

This electronic document has been scanned using optical character recognition (OCR) software and careful manual recorrection. Even if the quality of digitalisation is high, the FAO declines all responsibility for any discrepancies that may exist between the present document and its original printed version.

FAO/FISHCODE
Report of a bio-economic modelling workshop and a policy dialogue meeting on the Thai demersal fisheries in the Gulf of Thailand held at Hua Hin, Thailand, 31 May - 9 June 2000.
FAO/Norway Programme of assistance to developing countries for the implementation of the Code of Conduct for Responsible Fisheries. (FISHCODE). Sub-programme F: Assistance to developing countries for improving the provision of scientific advice for fisheries management.
FI: GCP/INT/648/NOR: Field Report F-16 (En). Rome, FAO.104p.

SUMMARY

Similar to many marine fish stocks in Asia and elsewhere in the world, the demersal resources in the Gulf of Thailand have been subjected to excessive levels of fishing effort since perhaps as long as two to three decades. This has resulted in a change in catch composition with a higher share of short-lived species in the catch. The influence on the value of the catch is not unambiguously negative because several short-lived species including certain cephalopods and crustaceans fetch good prices in the market. In general, fish prices showed real increases over the last decade including so-called ‘trash-fish”, i.e. by-catches of small fishes that are converted into fishmeal. The rapid growth in feed-intensive livestock and shrimp culture production has resulted in a rapidly growing fishmeal market. However, there is certainly concern about the impact on the Gulf of Thailand ecosystem and on bio-diversity of a continuation of the very high levels of mostly indiscriminate fishing effort, especially bottom trawling. While the immediate effect of a reduction of fishing effort could cause a decline in the quantity and value of the catch, the long-term benefit is likely to be very large. This is indicated by the findings of all three types of modelling approaches applied during this workshop, namely surplus production model (Gordon-Schaefer and Gordon-Fox), age-structured Thompson & Bell model (BEAM 5) and mass-balance eco-system model (ECOPATH).

The immediate economic benefits arise from a reduction of harvesting costs. These are comparatively much larger in the trawl and pushnet fisheries because of both higher capital cost and higher operating costs, especially fuel costs. A reduction of fishing effort in the order of forty to fifty percent would be required to realize the full resource rent potential of the Thai demersal fisheries in the Gulf of Thailand. This would necessitate a major structural adjustment in terms of creating incentives for voluntary exit from the fishery as well as in terms of putting in place a management regime that would avoid a re-occurrence of excessive fleet capacity and fishing effort. This could only be achieved in close partnership with the fishing industry and by making available considerable financial and technical assistance for the adjustment process, especially in its early stages, to compensate owners of decommissioned fishing vessels and displaced crew and to strengthen management capabilities and capacities at all levels including central and local government agencies and community organizations.


TABLE OF CONTENTS


GCP/INT/648/NOR Field Report F–16 (En)pdf

PREPARATION OF THIS DOCUMENT

LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS

1 INTRODUCTIONpdf

1.1 Opening of the Workshop
1.2 Objectives and Proceedings of the Workshop
1.3 Opening, Objectives and Proceedings of the Policy Dialogue Meeting

2 PRESENTATIONS AT THE WORKSHOPpdf

2.1 Overview of Regional Fisheries Management in Asia
2.2 Development of Demersal Fisheries and the Status of Demersal Resources
2.3 Current and Envisaged Fisheries Management Regulations

3 INTRODUCTION TO BIO-ECONOMIC MODELLINGpdf

3.1 Gordon-Schaefer Model7
3.2 Backward-bending Supply Curve Analysis
3.3 Past Applications of the Gordon-Schaefer Model to the Gulf of Thailand
3.4 Features of BEAM 5
3.5 The ECOPATH Approach
3.6 Scope and Limitations of the Models

4 GORDON-SCHAEFER AND GORDON-FOX MODELS IMPLEMENTATION AND MODELLING RESULTSpdf

4.1 Background and rationale
4.2 Task
4.3 Model limitations
4.4 Model description
4.5 Catch and effort data
4.6 Economic data
4.7 Biological analysis
4.8 Economic analysis
4.9 Implications

5 BEAM 5 IMPLEMENTATION AND MODELLING RESULTSpdf

5.1 Objectives
5.2 Methodology
5.3 Tasks
5.4 Tuning of BEAM 5
5.5 Economic data
5.6 Harvesting costs
5.7 Input parameters for the economic analysis
5.8 Simulation Results

6 ECOPATH-ECOSYSTEM MODELLING OF THE GULF OF THAILANDpdf

6.1 Introduction
6.2 Ecosystem modeling and its relevance for the workshop objectives
6.3 The Gulf of Thailand ECOPATH Model
6.4 Approach and results

7 COMPARISON OF MODELLING FINDINGS BY THE THREE GROUPSpdf

8 SUMMARY OF DISCUSSIONS AT THE POLICY DIALOGUE MEETINGpdf

APPENDICESpdf

APPENDIX A LIST OF PARTICIPANTS IN THE BIO-ECONOMIC MODELLING WORKSHOP
APPENDIX B LIST OF PARTICIPANTS IN THE POLICY DIALOGUE MEETING
APPENDIX C OPENING REMARKS
APPENDIX D AGENDA BIO-ECONOMIC MODELLING WORKSHOP
APPENDIX E AGENDA POLICY DIALOGUE MEETING
APPENDIX F ABBREVIATED DESCRIPTION OF BEAM 5
APPENDIX G REFERENCES